Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Competing Think Tank-Led Letters on How to Address No-Fly Zone in Ukraine

Here is more from Politico:

A group of 78 experts signed an open letter opposing a no-fly zone in Ukraine, adding heft to the argument against putting U.S. troops in direct engagement with Russians.

“[G]oing to war with Russia, a nuclear peer of the United States, would expose Americans to vast and unnecessary risks. A war that expands beyond Ukraine’s borders could also inflict damage across Europe and weaken America’s NATO allies. We call upon the administration to avoid such a gambit and continue to use appropriate diplomatic means and economic pressure to end the conflict,” wrote the experts, led by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace’s STEPHEN WERTHEIM and the American Institute for Economic Research’s WILLIAM RUGER.

This letter comes just two days after an Atlantic Council-led group of 27 experts openly advocated for a “limited no-fly zone” in Ukraine — an argument the new grouping of experts take head on. “Some of those calling for even a ‘limited’ no-fly zone admit that they are willing to see the United States and its NATO allies wage war against Russia in defense of Ukraine,” reads the letter. “A no-fly zone would expand the war, not stop it.”

 

The Atlantic Council-led letter has since added more signatories.  The think tank gets a large chunk of its funding from European countries, including NATO members.

Tom Enders, the former Airbus CEO and current president of the German Council on Foreign Affairs, recently made the case for a NATO-enforced no-fly zone over western Ukraine.

In other think tank/Ukraine news, the Institute for the Study of War issued a warning that recent Russian statements could be part of an effort to lay the groundwork for Moscow's use of chemical or biological attacks in Ukraine.

In a NYT op-ed, Wang Huiyao, president of the Center for China and Globalization, a Beijing think tank that advises the Chinese government, said that "we are now in an escalatory spiral and mounting pressure on Vladimir Putin will likely make the situation more dangerous."